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Showing posts with label David Einhorn. Show all posts
Showing posts with label David Einhorn. Show all posts

4 Hedge Funds Heavily Invested in Apple’s Fate

Written By Guest Author Insider Monkey. There are more than 8,000 hedge funds in existence today, and of this group, we at Insider Monkey track close to 600 of the best and brightest. The best picks of the best hedge fund managers have market-beating potential (see how we returned 47.6% in one year), and within this group, there are many ways to parse the data.

This week, we’ve covered some important tech topics in particular, like why Warren Buffett probably won’t buy Twitter [TWTR] and the peculiarities of Longbow Securities’ moves in NQ Mobile [NQ]. One subject that has been flying under the radar, though, is Apple [AAPL] and the hedge funds that surround it.

According to one Apple news site, the tech giant’s latest earnings release has been met with mostly optimism on Wall Street, especially from JPMorgan’s Mark Moskowitz. Moskowitz expects Apple’s current share price to hit $600 by December of 2014, primarily based on strong iPhone sales, the iPad’s potential in future quarters, and gross margins that are “good enough for long-term investors.”

With that in mind, we thought it’d be useful to run through the hedge fund managers that have stayed committed to Apple over the long run. Here are the four biggest bulls that have held the stock for at least two years:

David Einhorn

David Einhorn first bought Apple in the second quarter of 2010 and in the three years since, the manager of Greenlight Capital has upped his stake by nearly eightfold. While Tim Cook and the rest of Apple’s leadership didn’t adopt Einhorn’s iPref idea, his latest Q3 shareholder letter reveals he’ll likely remain bullish here for the “longer-term.”

David Shaw

Another billionaire, David E. Shaw, has held shares of Apple for the better part of the last decade. The manager of D.E. Shaw & Co doubled his exposure to the stock in the last round of 13F filings, and it actually represents the largest long-only holding in his entire equity portfolio. Shaw and Einhorn have the two largest Apple stakes of the funds we track, both of which represent nearly $1 billion in market value apiece.

Philippe Laffont

Philippe Laffont’s Coatue Management, meanwhile, has been a major Apple investor since the fourth quarter of 2004. Laffont founded his tech-focused hedge fund in 1999 after working for the legendary Julian Robertson, and Apple was his top stock pick for all of 2011 and most of 2012 before he slashed over half of his stake in the fourth quarter.

The fund manager now owns over $600 million in Apple stock and has recouped all of the shares he sold at the end of last year. While we don’t know exactly when Laffont cut his stake in 2012, it’s evident that he avoided much of the swoon that plagued investors who stuck with their gut, and actually bought back when shares were cheaper.

Ken Fisher

Although he’s technically not a hedge fund manager, Ken Fisher is a prominent investor worth tracking. Fisher Asset Management oversees nearly $40 billion in equity investments alone, and while it has been a long-term shareholder of Apple, the firm has only recently upped its stake to significant levels. At the halfway point of 2012, Fisher held $50 million worth of Apple stock; today, that number is more than $600 million.

It’s no secret that Fisher likes growth stocks that also trade at reasonable valuations, so we can understand why he’s bullish here. Apple trades at a PEG ratio near 0.9, and the sell-side still expects it to generate earnings growth of 15% a year over the next half-decade. That forecast trumps peers like Google [GOOG] and Microsoft [MSFT], and it’s cheaper than both.


Disclosure: none

Hedge Funds’ Small-Cap Picks Crush The Market

Article written by guest author Insider MonkeyPerhaps you've heard by now: Hedge funds have underperformed the S&P 500 year to date as the index is up 13% so far in 2013. 

Of course, hedge funds are often specifically designed to reduce an investor's exposure to the fluctuations of the overall market through long/short or other low-beta strategies, so this is not exactly the most level playing field on which to judge the utility of hedge funds.

In addition, when hedge funds can turn the full power of their research teams on under-served areas of the market, such as small cap stocks, we've shown that, far from being chronic underperformers, they can actually be excellent sources of alpha.

How can we determine this? Several weeks after the end of each quarter, each hedge fund files a 13F with the SEC to disclose many of its long-equity positions as of the end of the quarter. We track these filings in our database for a number of purposes, including to help us research investment strategies.
Last summer we found that, on average, the most popular small-cap stocks among hedge funds (measured by the quantity of funds in our database reporting a position) tended to outperform the S&P 500 by 18 percentage points per year.

At this point, we went to work stock picking — identifying which were the most popular small-cap picks based on 13Fs filed in November 2012. A number of these picks were merger targets; merger arbitrage is one of those low-beta strategies we've mentioned, as whether or not a deal closes is very weakly related to market conditions.

Let's take a look at the results since the beginning of this year for the five most popular picks which remain publicly traded: United Rentals (URI) is up 16%; Visteon (VC) has returned 34%; Tripadvisor (TRIP) is up 58%; W.R. Grace (GRA) is trading 13% higher; and Marvell Technology (MRVL) has soared 78%. You don't need a calculator to compare the average return of these names to the S&P's 13% gain, but we'll do it anyway: 39.8%. It's fair to note that small-cap stocks tend to outperform the overall market in good times, but still, Vanguard's small-cap ETF (VB) is up only 19% year to date.
Now consider: this portfolio comes from information released in November of last year, based on information about hedge-fund holdings from September. Buying these stocks at the beginning of 2013 would have been a very easy strategy to implement for investors with sufficient capital to buy five stocks and, even with a very substantial delay, would have resulted in a market-beating portfolio. These results are above what we've found to be typical, but demonstrate that strategies based on hedge-fund activity can realistically work.

Then why is it that overall hedge funds aren't beating the market? A few reasons. First, as we've mentioned, hedge funds often hedge by going short other stocks or the overall market in pursuit of absolute returns; they may also pursue more market-neutral strategies, such as merger arbitrage or investing in global macro instruments.

Second, the largest hedge fund positions — particularly for successful funds that raise billions in capital from investors — tend to be in large-cap stocks almost by necessity. Large caps are more closely followed by large institutional investors and the financial media, and so it is harder to generate alpha in these stocks.

When we looked at billionaire David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital's 13Fs over time, we found that he gets a good deal of his outperformance from small caps (read our analysis here).

Third, of course, investors in hedge funds pay performance fees. There are other reasons less positive for hedge funds as well — for example, a number of funds have been long gold this year, with disastrous results thus far.
Paying heavy fees to invest in a hedge fund is probably not worth it for most investors who don't have to concern themselves with finding investment opportunities uncorrelated with the rest of their portfolio (as many institutional investors do).

However, on average, hedge funds' consensus small-cap picks tend to do quite well. We believe that there are other strategies waiting to be discovered as well, and of course, investors can take advantage of 13Fs and the more up-to-date news from 13D and 13G filings (which occur when a fund or other major investor owns at least 5% of a publicly traded company) to identify free initial investment ideas.

Disclosure: none

David Einhorn's Latest Portfolio Dividend Stock Changes | Greenlight Capital

Latest stock purchases and sales from David Einhorn, Greenlight Capital originally published at long-term-investments.blogspot.com. David Einhorn has around USD 5.3 billion in assets under management in his asset management company Greenlight Capital. Last Quarter he made 28 transactions and bought 7 new stakes. His portfolio has only 30 stock holdings.

In this article I would like to present you the best dividend stocks, bought and sold by David Einhorn. From his nine stock and ETF purchases pay six a dividend. All of the latest dividend buys from David Einhorn yielding between .13 percent and 1.92 percent. David is no long-term dividend player. He wants a quick total return. The most important buys were ING US, Liberty Global and Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF.

On the short side, he reduced or sold out 19 stocks. 15 of them pay a dividend. The biggest impact had Cigna, Seagate Technology and Microsoft with around 3 percent impact to his portfolio.

Apple remains the biggest stock holding bet. The stake has a value of around one billion dollar. The second biggest position of David Einhorn is the car company General Motors which represents around 10.7 percent of his total portfolio. The third biggest company is the technology stock Marvell with a 9.7 percent share. Both are worth over USD 500 million.

David Einhorn: Fooling Some of the People All of the Time

Could 2008's credit crisis have been minimized or even avoided? In 2002, David Einhorn-one of the country's top investors-was asked at a charity investment conference to share his best investment advice. Short sell Allied Capital. At the time, Allied was a leader in the private financing industry. Einhorn claimed Allied was using questionable accounting practices to prop itself up. Sound familiar? At the time of the original version of Fooling Some of the People All of the Time: A Long Short Story the outcome of his advice was unknown. Now, the story is complete and we know Einhorn was right. In 2008, Einhorn advised the same conference to short sell Lehman Brothers. And had the market been more open to his warnings, yes, the market meltdown might have been avoided, or at least minimized.
  • Details the gripping battle between Allied Capital and Einhorn's Greenlight Capital
  • Illuminates how questionable company practices are maintained and, at times, even protected by Wall Street
  • Describes the failings of investment banks, analysts, journalists, and government regulators
  • Describes how many parts of the Allied Capital story were replayed in the debate over Lehman Brothers
Fooling Some of the People All of the Time is an important call for effective government regulation, free speech, and fair play.

Read more here: Fooling Some of the People All of the Time, A Long Short (and Now Complete) Story, Updated with New Epilogue

David Einhorn’s Best Yielding Dividend Stock Buys

David Einhorn and his highest yielding dividend stock buys originally published at "long-term-investments.blogspot.com". On May 15, a full range of professional fund managers released its quarter statements. Today I like to look at the best dividend stock buys of David Einhorn. He is the head of Greenlight Capital and serves around 6.5 billion in assets. In total he has 38 stocks of which six were bought within the recent quarter. Below is a list of his 20 biggest transaction within the recent quarters.

His biggest move was related to Apple. He added the position by 83.45%, a change to his portfolio of 7.37%.

15 of his 20 largest stock buys from the recent quarters are dividend stocks. Apple is his biggest bet with a value above a billion dollar.

David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital Q4/2011 Fund Portfolio

David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital Q4/2011 Fund Investing Strategies By Dividend Yield – Stock Capital, Investment. Here is a current portfolio update of David Einhorn’s - Greenlight Capital - portfolio movements as of Q4/2011 (December 31, 2011). In total, he manages 38 stocks with a total portfolio worth of USD 4,804,323,000.

David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital Q3-2011 Fund Portfolio

David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital Q3-2011 Fund Investing Strategies By Dividend Yield – Stock Capital, Investment. Here is a current portfolio update of David Einhorn’s - Greenlight Capital - portfolio movements as of Q3/2011 (September 30, 2011). In total, he has 36 stocks with a total portfolio worth of USD 4,179,558,000.

David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital fund positions as of Q3/2011 with actual share movements:

Sym - Stock
Portfolio Weight
Recent activity
Reported Price*
AAPL - Apple Inc.
11.98
Add 21.92%
$381.18
MSFT - Microsoft Corp.
9.03
Add 2.37%
$24.89
CFN - CareFusion Corp.
7.33
Add 34.38%
$23.95
GM - General Motors
7.11
Add 330.79%
$20.18
MRVL - Marvell Technology Group Ltd.
5.78
Buy
$14.53
S - Sprint Nextel Corp.
5.37
Add 31.96%
$3.04
TRV - Travelers Companies Inc.
5.04
Add 2.88%
$48.73
ESV - ENSCO PLC
4.48
Add 9.54%
$40.43
NCR - NCR Corp.
3.99
Add 4.80%
$16.89
BBY - Best Buy Co. Inc.
3.91
Add 1.86%
$23.30
STX - Seagate Technology
3.55
Add 25.58%
$10.28
BAGL - Einstein Noah Restaurant Group Inc.
3.29
0
$12.83
HCA - HCA Inc
2.71
Add 91.14%
$20.16
BDX - Becton Dickinson
2.7
Reduce 33.87%
$73.32
CVS - CVS Caremark Corp.
2.7
Add 2.74%
$33.58
AHL - Aspen Insurance Holdings Ltd.
2.66
Add 16.55%
$23.04
CBS - CBS Corp.
2.44
Buy
$20.38
HII - Huntington Ingalls Industries
2.02
Add 45.04%
$24.33
NVR - NVR Inc.
1.85
Add 3.31%
$603.98
LM - Legg Mason
1.6
Buy
$25.71
ABX - Barrick Gold Corp.
1.51
Buy
$46.65
IM - Ingram Micro Inc.
1.45
0
$16.13
BR - Broadridge Financial Solutions
1.32
Add 3.75%
$20.14
LYB - LyondellBasell Industries
1.27
Add 3.82%
$24.43
MRO - Marathon Oil Corp.
1.12
Add 48.87%
$21.58
CPWR - Compuware Corp.
0.82
Buy
$7.66
STBZ - State Bank Financial Corp.
0.63
0
$12.62
EPL - Energy Partners Ltd.
0.46
0
$11.07
SEMG - SemGroup Corp.
0.46
Reduce 10.53%
$19.96
FSC - FIFTH STREET FINANCE
0.45
0
$9.32
RJET - Republic Airways Holdings Inc.
0.23
0
$2.83
EIG - Employers Holdings Inc.
0.2
Reduce 31.99%
$12.76
SYMM - Symmetricom Inc.
0.18
0
$4.34
FURX - Furiex Pharmaceuticals Inc.
0.17
0
$14.23
BIOF - BioFuel Energy Corp.
0.12
0
$0.19
SYNA - Synaptics Inc.
0.07
Buy
$23.91





Related Stock Ticker of David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital:
AAPL, MSFT, CFN, GM, MRVL, S, TRV, ESV, NCR, BBY, STX, BAGL, HCA, BDX, CVS, AHL, CBS, HII, LM ABX, IM, BR, LBY, MRO, CPWR, STBZ, EPL, SEMG, FSC, RJET, EIG, SYMM, FURY, BIOF, SYNA

David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital Q2-2011 Fund Portfolio


David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital Q2-2011 Fund Investing Strategies By Dividend Yield – Stock Capital, Investment. Here is a current portfolio update of David Einhorn’s - Greenlight Capital - portfolio movements as of Q2/2011 (June 30, 2011). In total, he held 34 stocks with a total portfolio worth of USD 4,445,995,000.

David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital fund positions as of Q2/2011 with actual share movements:





Related Stock Ticker of David Einhorn - Greenlight Capital:
PFE, MSFT, AAPL, S, CFN, TRV, ESV, BBY, BDX, STX, NCR, BAGL, CVS, BP, AHL, GM, HCA, NVR, HII, LYB, MRO, IM, BR, ARO, STBZ, SEMG, EPL, FSC, RJET, EIG, BIOF, SYMM, FURX, DOX,